After spending a few hours touring superstorm damage with President Barack Obama, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, the Republican national convention keynoter, praised Obama for his “great work” in managing the crisis.
** QUICK HITS. President Barack Obama had a notably successful day today dealing with the natural disaster known as Superstorm Sandy, touring New Jersey with a practically gushing Governor Chris Christie. He’s back on the campaign trail tomorrow (see Obama Today item below). … Obama has a steady edge in lynchpin swing state Ohio, which accounts for pro-Romney super PACs trying to play in other states. They have money to burn anyway, literally, with airwaves over-saturated and over-booked in most swing state scenarios. … Governor Jerry Brown, who may have made a tighter case for the Prop 30 revenue initiative today at Town Hall LA, delivers another address on California’s challenges and opportunities to the Commonwealth Club at noon tomorrow in San Francisco. … A California court is expected to rule that the shadowy Arizona super PAC which funneled the biggest anonymous contribution in California history, $11 million, through the Small Business Action Committee re-branding operation into the No on 30 campaign must reveal the actual contributors. But it has not happened as of 5 PM Pacific.
** NEW COLUMN COMING UP … OBAMA ON THE VERGE.
** NOTE: MY ARCHIVES ARE BACK UP AND FUNCTIONING AFTER BEING PARTIALLY KNOCKED OFFLINE BY THE SUPERSTORM. This was a bit distracting, as you might expect.
** NEW SURVEY: BY A WIDE MARGIN, MOST VOTERS EXPECT AN OBAMA VICTORY. The presidential race still looks close, but one of the best indicators of the outcome overwhelmingly picks President Barack Obama to win.
That indicator? American voters themselves.
A new Gallup Poll survey, taken just before Superstorm Sandy made polling impossible in much of the US, shows voters picking Obama as the likely winner next Tuesday over conservative Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney by a wide margin, 54% to 34%.
Tellingly, even though their preferences have been split, independent voters pick Obama to win over Romney, 52-32.
A majority of Americans continue to believe that Democratic President Barack Obama will win re-election Tuesday over Republican challenger Mitt Romney, by 54% to 34%. These views are roughly similar to where they were in May and August, although slightly more Americans now do not have an opinion either way. …
Americans have a good track record regarding their collective prediction of the outcome of presidential elections, correctly predicting the winner of the popular vote in final Gallup surveys taken in 1996, 2000, 2004, and 2008. Although Americans are not as optimistic on Obama’s odds as various “prediction markets,” such as Intrade.com, where the president has often been projected as having a probability of winning of more than 60%, the prediction markets and the American public in general find Obama the favorite against Romney. …
Conservative Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, campaigning early this morning in swing state Florida, said that America “is going through trauma” and we must pray for the victims. Romney is not answering questions about his anti-Federal Emergency Management Administration stance earlier in this campaign.
** NEW COLUMN COMING UP … OBAMA: SIX DAYS OUT.
** OBAMA TODAY. President Barack Obama is in Washington and New Jersey.
He received the daily intelligence and economic briefings in the Oval Office.
At 9 AM Pacific, Obama departs the White House on Marine One en route Joint Base Andrews, where he boards Air Force One.
At 9:15 AM Pacific, Obama departs Joint Base Andrews en route Atlantic City, New Jersey.
At 10 AM Pacific, Obama arrives Atlantic City, New Jersey.
At 10:05 AM Pacific, Obama begins viewing storm damage with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
At 1:40 PM Pacific, Obama departs Atlantic City, New Jersey on Air Force One en route Joint Base Andrews.
At 2:30 PM Pacific, Obama arrives Joint Base Andrews, where he boards Marine One.
At 2:45 PM Pacific, Obama lands on the South Lawn of the White House.
Yet another day off the campaign trail for Obama on account of Superstorm Sandy.
Obama tours superstorm-smashed New Jersey with his new admirer, Governor Chris Christie, the GOP convention keynoter who yesterday repeatedly called Obama “outstanding,” a “great partner” in managing the massive crisis.
His state is heavily reliant on assistance from the Federal Emergency Management Association, an agency that conservative Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney said during the current campaign that he would slash.
Now Romney is dodging repeated questions from reporters on his FEMA stance.
Running mate Paul Ryan’s touted budget plan would also severely slash FEMA funding.
Obama is back on the campaign trail tomorrow, moving to lock down Wisconsin and Nevada and to push on through in Colorado.
Vice President Joe Biden is campaigning today in swing state Florida, where I believe Romney has the edge, though polls are very close.
Former President Bill Clinton is campaigning for Obama today in swing state Iowa, where the Democratic ticket has an edge.
Romney is campaigning today in Florida.
Congressman Paul Ryan is campaigning in home state Wisconsin, an arguable swing state in which he is trying to close the gap with Obama and Biden.
As expected, new polling shows Obama’s edge in lynchpin Ohio holding.
Obama is monitoring several geopolitical crises involving the Arab Awakening, Iran and Israel, Syria, Iraq, AfPak, and the South China Sea.
Military Crisis Zone Times: The Persian/Arabian Gulf is ten hours ahead of Pacific time and Afghanistan is eleven and a half hours ahead of Pacific time. The time in Manila, on the South China Sea, is fifteen hours ahead of Pacific time.
Governor Jerry Brown spoke yesterday in Los Angeles at the unveiling of the Space Shuttle Endeavour permanent exhibit at the California Science Center, tying in his theme of continuing to invest in innovation and exploration while getting present crises under control.
** FROM THE JERRY FILES. Governor Jerry Brown is in Los Angeles and Northern California.
Brown delivers a significant address today at noon at Town Hall Los Angeles. On Thursday he speaks at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco.
A good time for him to focus in on his message regarding California’s chronic budget crisis, Prop 30, and what sort of society this is going to be.
Yesterday at Cal State LA, Brown denounced the No on 30 crew as dominated by “shadowy figures” of great wealth including “bandits” in the form of the odd Arizona super PAC which has made the largest anonymous contribution in the history of California politics.
It really is banana republic time in that campaign.
Yesterday afternoon, a California superior court in Sacramento issued a tentative ruling that the Arizona super PAC must reveal the true source of the funds. But there will be another hearing today.
“Americans for Responsible Leadership,” which funneled $11 million in secret funds through the so-called Small Business Action Committee, claimed yesterday that it was disadvantaged by the superstorm and the inability of its regular attorneys, who are based in Virginia, to travel easily across the country to make the case that its funders should remain hidden.
Polling late yesterday shows Prop 30 clinging to a lead but in serious trouble, while heiress Molly Munger’s rival Prop 38 initiative is far behind, with support in the lows 30s, despite no money being spent against it.
Molly Munger’s impact has, at best, been non-serious throughout, unless her real agenda has been to join forces with brother Charlie Jr., who has spent over $35 million to defeat Prop 30 and push Prop 32, the anti-public employee union measure (which is losing but could win if it’s allowed the space in which to revive) with his money funneling through the “Small Business” Action Committee.
** CALIFORNIA STORY: THE INITIATIVES SHAKE DOWN WHILE BANANA REPUBLIC POLITICS REVS UP. … From my October 26th column.
** BOND AT 50: SKYFALL‘S NOTABLE PREMIERE HARKENS BACK TO BOND’S LATE IMPERIAL BEGINNINGS. … From my October 24th essay.
** OBAMA WINS THE FOREIGN POLICY DEBATE ON … OHIO? … From my October 23rd essay.
** RECALLING GEORGE MCGOVERN’S LAST CAMPAIGN. … From my October 22nd essay.
** CALIFORNIA REPUBLIC: PASS THE BANANAS. … From my October 19th essay.
** OBAMA TAKES DEBATE 2: SO WHAT HAPPENS NEXT? … From my October 17th essay.
** GEOPOLITICS: OBAMA FACES BIG CHALLENGES DESPITE DEBATE WINNER ROMNEY’S LATEST POLICY WHIFF. … From my October 9th essay.
** JERRY BROWN GETS AN OCTOBER SURPRISE. … From my October 8th feature.
** RECALLING TOTAL RECALL: SCHWARZENEGGER’S COMEBACK PROCEEDS WITH A BIG (NATURALLY) BOOK. … From my October 5th essay.
** BOND AT 50: DR. NO IS A TIME CAPSULE FROM THE EARLY MAD MEN ERA. … From my October 4th essay.
** FROM GOVERNATOR TO MOONBEAM. … From my January 3rd, 2011 feature.
** OBAMA: RIDING WITH HISTORY. (NOTE: As Barack Obama was inaugurated as the 44th president of the United States, this column was the featured column on the top of the front page of the Huffington Post.) … From my January 19th, 2009 Huffington Post column.
Disney made a massive move yesterday, acquiring Lucasfilm from Bay Area resident George Lucas for $4 billion. Disney’s plan, among other things, is to pursue a renewed series of Star Wars films, this time with Lucas playing a consulting rather than directing or producing role.
** 24/7 LIVE TV NEWS FEED FROM AL JAZEERA. With the US entangled in major military operations in the region, and the Arab awakening underway, it’s valuable to keep up with news and perspectives from the leading Middle Eastern-based TV news network. Click here for a live TV news feed on your computer. The NWN live link to AJ does not constitute an endorsement of the channel’s views. It’s presented as an otherwise unavailable new media window.
** 24/7 LIVE TV NEWS FEED FROM RUSSIA TODAY. Russia has re-emerged as one of the world’s great powers. Click here for a live TV news feed on your computer from the Russia Today channel. The NWN live link to RT does not constitute an endorsement of the state-run channel’s views. It’s presented as an otherwise unavailable new media window.
** TRACK GLOBAL AND NATIONAL ENERGY PRICES IN NEAR REAL TIME VIA BLOOMBERG ENERGY MARKET WATCH. Having crashed over $147 for yet another record on July 11th, 2008, crude oil is trading around $86 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
This is up about $52 from the low of $34 per barrel prior to enactment of the Obama economic recovery program, reflecting a low point in global economic activity, and down about $28 per barrel from the price at the time of the Osama bin Laden raid.
Your posts are welcome in the Forum. You can send me a private tip by clicking on the “Contact” button in the upper right.