Barack Obama tries to deal with his white working class problem.

** ONE WEEK AFER “BITTERGATE” BREAKS, HUFFINGTON POST HAS AUDIO OF A PRIVATE CLINTON FUNDRAISER IN WHICH SHE SLAMS PARTY ACTIVISTS. The Huffington Post and its Off The Bus project, which inadvertently sparked a media firestorm around its preferred candidate, Barack Obama, late this afternoon released audio of Hillary Clinton slamming Democratic activists at one of her private fundraisers.

Clinton, in remarks at an undisclosed private fundraiser sometime after February 5th’s Super Tuesday, blames the party’s “activist base” for many of her defeats.

“We have been less successful in caucuses because it brings out the activist base of the Democratic Party. MoveOn didn’t even want us to go into Afghanistan. I mean, that’s what we’re dealing with. And you know they turn out in great numbers. And they are very driven by their view of our positions, and it’s primarily national security and foreign policy that drives them. I don’t agree with them. They know I don’t agree with them. So they flood into these caucuses and dominate them and really intimidate people who actually show up to support me.”

Incidentally, it is not my impression that Obama has been winning most of the caucuses because of MoveOn.org, much less folks who didn’t want to go into Afghanistan to take down the Taliban after 9/11. Texas, for example, where Obama won big, had a record 1.1 million people participating in the Democratic caucuses.

MoveOn, incidentally, denies Clinton’s closed-door charge that it opposed the war in Afghanistan.

** NEWSWEEK NATIONAL POLL: OBAMA PULLING AWAY. Newsweek’s national poll, taken April 16-17, shows Barack Obama pulling away from Hillary Clinton. It’s Obama 54%, Clinton 35%.

This poll was taken the night of the controversial ABC debate in Philly, and the following day.

Key takeaways: Who is most electable among Democrats? Obama 55%, Clinton 33%. Does the candidate share your values? Obama 53%, Clinton 47%, John McCain 45%. Is the candidate honest and trustworthy? Obama and McCain both score 61% yes on trustworthiness. Clinton scores 51% no on trustworthiness.

Hillary’s Bosnian Adventure was much more damaging than Obama’s Bittergate and the Wright Stuff.

In case you were wondering why the McCain campaign, the Republican Party, and much of the conservative infosphere did not jump on Clinton for her sniper fire fantasies, but jumped all over Obama for Bittergate and the Wright Stuff …

** JOHN MCCAIN’S WEALTH. John McCain put out records today indicating that he made about $400,000 last year. Not included are his wife Cindy’s records. She is estimated to be worth about $100 million. The couple hold their assets separately and file taxes separately. This makes the McCains the wealthiest couple in the presidential race, topping the post-presidential fortune raked in by Bill and Hillary Clinton. Barack and Michelle Obama, who have made mere millions — Obama finished paying off his student loans a few years back — are the pikers in this scenario.

Cindy McCain, or, actually, Cindy Hensley McCain, is chairwoman of Hensley & Co., headquartered in Phoenix. Hensley & Co., founded by Cindy’s late father, Jim Hensley, is one of the largest Anheuser & Busch beer wholesalers and distributors in America, and one of the largest privately held companies in Arizona. Cindy McCain is not releasing her tax returns.

Bottom line. The bulk of the McCain wealth stems from Cindy’s role with Hensley & Co. The bulk of the Clinton wealth stems from Bill’s post-presidential lectures, consulting, and books. The bulk of the Obama wealth stems from Barack’s books.

** OIL PRICE HITS NEW RECORDS — UP $7 PER BARREL THIS WEEK. Crude hit a new trading record of $117 per barrel today and a new closing record of $116.69 per barrel. The upward spike came after Nigerian rebels bombed a major oil pipeline owned by Royal Dutch Shell. The price had already been propped up by the dollar trading at record lows against the euro and a huge risk premium built into the price by ongoing Middle Eastern crises.

I was already paying $4 a gallon for gas before this.

In this one week, dominated amongst the political chatterers by talk of flag pins, make-up, bowling, candidate age, etc., the price of crude oil has gone up by a whopping seven dollars a barrel.

How much did this issue figure in Wednesday night’s presidential debate? Not at all. I’m sure you’ll get better mileage fueling your vehicles with flag pins.

In other uplifting news, California’s unemployment rate hit 6.2%. This is in part due to the housing crisis and the impact of higher energy costs.

** MY NEW PODCAST. The road beyond Bittergate. Does Obama have Reagan-like teflon? And more.

** SOUTHERN DEMOCRATIC POWER BROKERS BACK OBAMA. Former U.S. Senators Sam Nunn of Georgia and David Boren of Oklahoma have just endorsed Barack Obama.

Nunn was chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee in the ’80s and ’90s. Boren was chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee in the ’80s and ’90s. The two will serve on Obama’s national security policy team.

Nunn is an iconic figure in the national security and foreign policy firmament. In his endorsement statement, he said: “America remains the strongest nation in the world, but we can only be successful in tackling our toughest problems if we gain cooperation at home and abroad. Our next president – working across party and economic lines – must restore and strengthen our national purpose, our credibility, our competence and our spirit. We need a president who has the temperament of a leader – a sharp, incisive, strategic mind, a rare capacity for self criticism, and a willingness to hear contrary points of view. Based on my conversations with Senator Obama, reading his book and his speeches and seeing the kind of campaign he has run, I believe that he is our best choice to lead our nation.”

** RASMUSSEN PENNSYLVANIA POLL, POST-DEBATE. Those busy Rasmussen robots did a tracking poll last night in Pennsylvania, following the controversial ABC debate Wednesday night. They detected, along their track, a somewhat narrowing race.

It’s Hillary Clinton 47%, Barack Obama 44%.

The debate was a mixed bag. On the one hand, Obama did not do well. On the other hand, the debate was something of a dumbed-down farce. In fact, when you consider the huge issues getting short shrift, or no shrift at all, the people running these debates have little to be proud of.

** SCHWARZENEGGER ADDRESSES YALE CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE. Fresh from a speech in Manhattan and two big-money fundraisers for his California Dream Team hosted by New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and financier Ronald Perelman, Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger is today at Yale University in New Haven, Connecticut where he will keynote the Yale Conference of Governors on Climate Change.

Following his address, Schwarzenegger, still on the Yale campus, will meet with Quebec Premier Jean Charest to discuss further moves on climate change.

The speech will not be webcast live, but can be seen around 2 PM via this link.

** SCHWARZENEGGER IN NEW YORK. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger got good coverage in New York from his appearance at Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s issues luncheon yesterday. But for once, the former action superstar didn’t have the most controversial comment.

That honor went to Schwarzenegger’s friend Bloomberg, the media billionaire and political independent who seriously explored an independent run for president and is now weighing which candidate he will support.

“I’m looking for a candidate,” said Bloomberg, “who is willing to face reality and say we can’t have everything, and there are costs, and we’ve got to make choices. At least we’ll have an adult in office who can lead and can accomplish something.” The mayor wouldn’t say if the latter was a negative reference to President George W. Bush.

Bloomberg is a key ally of Schwarzenegger on climate change, renewable energy, infrastructure, and redistricting reform, emerging as a big backer of the governor’s initiative drive for the November ballot.

Schwarzenegger said the two parties’ hold on districts in his state reminds him of election results under former Russian President Vladimir Putin, prompting him to try to break the partisan gridlock.

“I sleep with a Democrat every night,” the Republican governor said, referring to his wife, journalist Maria Shriver. “How difficult can it be? I didn’t go to Sacramento and tell Democrats and Republicans they should sleep together. That’s my trip. But the bottom line is, I wanted them to work together.”


Hillary Clinton dismisses criticism of the ABC debate.

** THE NEW “JUDAS”: CLINTON CABINET MEMBER AND OLD FRIEND ROBERT REICH. Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich, classmate of Bill Clinton’s at Oxford — where they were both Rhodes Scholars — and friend of the Clintons for decades, will today endorse Barack Obama.

The reason? Dislike of Clinton’s campaign.

Says Reich: I saw the ads…and I was appalled, frankly. I thought it represented the nadir of mean-spirited, negative politics. And also of the politics of distraction, of gotcha politics. It’s the worst of all worlds. We have three terrible traditions that we’ve developed in American campaigns. One is outright meanness and negativity. The second is taking out of context something your opponent said, maybe inartfully, and blowing it up into something your opponent doesn’t possibly believe and doesn’t possibly represent. And third is a kind of tradition of distraction, of getting off the big subject with sideshows that have nothing to do with what matters. And these three aspects of the old politics I’ve seen growing in Hillary’s campaign. And I’ve come to the point, after seeing those ads, where I can’t in good conscience not say out loud what I believe about who should be president. Those ads are nothing but Republicanism. They’re lending legitimacy to a Republican message that’s wrong to begin with, and they harken back to the past 20 years of demagoguery on guns and religion. It’s old politics at its worst — and old Republican politics, not even old Democratic politics. It’s just so deeply cynical.

** WHERE THEY ARE TODAY.

Barack Obama is in Erie, Williamsport, and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Hillary Clinton is in Radnor, Pennsylvania and Winston Salem, North Carolina.

Bill Clinton is in Moon Township, Connellsville, Somerset, Fort Washington, Lansdale, and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

John McCain is in Washington, D.C.


Vladimir Putin yesterday became chairman of the ruling United
Russia Party. The outgoing president will become prime minister next month.

** HARD POLITICAL REALITIES IN THE REST OF THE WORLD. While two debate moderators who don’t wear flag pins and never served in the military hector a candidate who doesn’t wear a flag pin and never served in the military about why he doesn’t wear a flag pin — meanwhile conveniently ignoring that the other candidates in both parties don’t wear flag pins, either — real stuff is happening elsewhere.

For example, Russian President Vladimir Putin yesterday became chairman of the ruling United Russia Party. Next month, when he leaves the presidency to his longtime top aide Dmitry Medvedev — who neither Democratic candidate seemed to know much about, and whose name supposed geopolitical expert Hillary Clinton couldn’t pronounce — Putin will become Russia’s prime minister.

It’s all part of his plan to be Russia’s “national leader,” though he will share some power with the new president.

Meanwhile, the president of the Palestinian Authority went to Moscow this week. Why? Because Moscow is planning to host a Middle East peace conference. Perhaps it will be more meaningful than the failed conference that the US hosted last year at Annapolis.

Is there any coverage of these matters in the US? Of course not.

The 55-year old Putin, incidentally, denies persistent reports that he is divorcing his wife of 25 years to marry a 25-year old rhythm gymnastics star and Playboy model who he had slated as a member of the national parliament.

** 24/7 LIVE TV NEWS FEED FROM RUSSIA TODAY. Russia has re-emerged as one of the world’s great powers. Click here for a live TV news feed on your computer, bringing you English-language, jargon-free, fast-paced coverage of global and Russian news from the new Russia Today channel.

You probably already know about CNN International, BBC World, and Al Jazeera. Russia Today, which also features culture, entertainment, and sports, is based in Moscow and is owned and operated by the TV Novosti division of Russia’s state news agency, RIA Novosti.

While it’s quite foolish to expect to see, say, criticism of Vladimir Putin on Russia Today, the channel is very interesting nonetheless. The NWN live link to RT does not constitute an endorsement of the channel’s views. It’s presented as an otherwise unavailable new media window.

** TRACK GLOBAL AND U.S. ENERGY PRICES IN NEAR REAL TIME VIA BLOOMBERG ENERGY MARKET WATCH. Crude oil is trading in the $113 to $114 per barrel range.

Your posts are welcome in the Forum.

76 Responses to “Non-Random Notes, With Updates And Forum Throughout Day”

  1. Bill Bradley says:

    Melted flag pins, that’s the ticket.

  2. Capitol Boy says:

    Wow!

    ** NEWSWEEK NATIONAL POLL: OBAMA PULLING AWAY. Newsweek’s national poll, taken April 16-17, shows Barack Obama pulling away from Hillary Clinton. It’s Obama 54%, Clinton 35%.
    This poll was taken the night of the controversial ABC debate in Philly, and the following day.

  3. Brasky says:

    Those are beginning to look like Phil vs. Arnold numbers. If this was a fight, they would have called it already.

    I’m thinking more supers to go to Obama by Tuesday…

  4. Brasky says:

    Looks like Cindy and Bill are the sugar daddy spouses.

    Maybe Hillary and John can go shopping for diamonds and pearls together.

  5. marcus leon says:

    I’m tired of the primaries. I want them over.

  6. Capitol Boy says:

    Hey, they did something good.

    ** ONE WEEK AFER “BITTERGATE” BREAKS, HUFFINGTON POST HAS AUDIO OF A PRIVATE CLINTON FUNDRAISER IN WHICH SHE SLAMS PARTY ACTIVISTS. The

  7. Brasky says:

    “… it is not my impression that Obama has been winning most of the caucuses because of MoveOn.org…”

    these guys haven’t been able to do anything except stir-up shit.

    The reason people are coming out to vote for Obama, is OBAMA.

    Obama’s ability to bring new people to the table is a big reason why a lot of dem insiders like this guy.

    I’m still getting emails from the Texas Dems talking about their dramatic increase in members and regisrations.

  8. Chris M says:

    Yet HRC will likely win PA.

    Is it demography-as-destiny, with women staying will their girl?

    Just enough racism to make a difference?

    Familiarity/known quantity vs. lingering doubts?

    I know PA is only one state. But I don’t like seeing Obama trailing in a state that’s nearly a must-win come November.

  9. Bill Bradley says:

    Gov. Ed Rendell says Obama should win Pennsylvania in the fall.

    I don’t think there’s a stronger state in the country for Hillary outside New York. Closed primary. Older population, etc.

  10. Bill Bradley says:

    MoveOn is a neat add-on to Obama, but hardly the core of his campaign.

    >Brasky :
    “… it is not my impression that Obama has been winning most of the caucuses because of MoveOn.org…”
    these guys haven’t been able to do anything except stir-up shit.
    The reason people are coming out to vote for Obama, is OBAMA.
    Obama’s ability to bring new people to the table is a big reason why a lot of dem insiders like this guy.
    I’m still getting emails from the Texas Dems talking about their dramatic increase in members and regisrations.
    Apr 18, 2008 04:33 PM

  11. Bill Bradley says:

    They are wearying.

    >marcus leon :
    I’m tired of the primaries. I want them over.
    Apr 18, 2008 04:10 PM

  12. Bill Bradley says:

    They can at least have another vodka drinking contest in Eastern Europe. :)

    >Brasky :
    Looks like Cindy and Bill are the sugar daddy spouses.
    Maybe Hillary and John can go shopping for diamonds and pearls together.
    Apr 18, 2008 03:57 PM

  13. Bill Bradley says:

    … BTW, it’s too bad these campaigns get so wearing and negative. Each of these candidates is a very interesting person in his/her own right.

  14. Brasky says:

    Chris – I think you need to look at this another way.

    Obama has cut TWENTY POINTS from Hillary’s lead in a state that has demographics that STRONGLY favor her. That would be like McCain coming with 5 points in Massachusetts in November. Like Bill points out, this is her West New York.

    Look at that national poll – he’s taking some of the biggest hits of his life, and he’s still a monster candidate. And don’t forget, when Obama wins, the board is reset for a match with McCain.

    Speaking of resets, I think the other thing we will soon see is Obama pretending that Hillary isn’t there at all. He started focusing on McCain awhile back, but I think he’ll effectively play as though he is, in no uncertain terms, the democratic nominee.

    He’ll treat Hillary as a Nader/Kucinnich or like Schwarzenegger’s campaign used to respond to Phil Angelides in that kind of “kids will say the darnedest things” manner.

    It’ll be a lot easier after big wins on May 6, but if he has enough superdelegates banked, he can easily negate Hillary’s net gain in Penn and squash her news cycle. On Tuesday night, I’d like him to be on stage with 10 new delegates after Hillary spent a month to win 6 delegates (a 48-52 win for Hillary).

    In any event, I think Pennsylvania will close one chapter and start another.

  15. Brasky says:

    “Hillary’s Bosnian Adventure was much more damaging than Obama’s Bittergate and the Wright Stuff.”

    One of the interesting things I’ve noticed from the Schwarzenegger campaigns, is that once voters believe that a candidate is sincere or in some other manner not a typical politician, they tend to cut a lot of slack to that candidate if they commit a verbal gaff. Especially if that gaff isn’t seen as mean or self-serving and it’s paired with some sort of sincere mea culpa.

    This probably bodes well for both McCain and Obama.

    The other thing I’ve noticed from the Schwarzenegger campaigns (which also applies to Bill Clinton), every time a weak opponent takes a wild swing a strong opponent, they get counter-punched into next week. Throwing wild, weak stuff in the ring gets you on your ass.

    Obama and McCain AIN’T Kerry and Dole. Don’t come into the ring with that weak stuff. Just ask the NY/LA Times (My radar was off that day Bill).

  16. Brasky says:

    Ok, I don’t run with these dogs, but I think the Moveon response is worthy of posting:

    “MoveOn’s Executive Director Eli Pariser reacted strongly to Clinton’s remarks: ‘Senator Clinton has her facts wrong again. MoveOn never opposed the war in Afghanistan, and we set the record straight years ago when Karl Rove made the same claim…(our activists) deserve better than to be dismissed using Republican talking points.’”

    I missed that she said all this in February. She may not have opposed the Iraq War first, but she beat Obama’s bout of bitterness by two whole months. She was an early adopter when people didn’t even know about bitterness…

  17. Chris M says:

    B & B: Good points

    On a different note…Did you hear we’re building the Baghdad Wall?
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080418/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq;_ylt=AqCbacxMhdbVj8conQDWvZBvaA8F

    Can you believe this sh%$?

    FIVE YEARS AND FOUR THOUSAND AMERICAN DEATHS after the invasion we’re building a wall through Baghdad because an Iran-influenced religious cum militia leader with millions of followers is beyond our control…

    It’s almost enough to bring out the latent Weatherman within…or at least the latent Paul Burton ;-)

    OK, I’ll return to this awesome Pete Townshend riff I’m cranking out…”Cap’t Walker didn’t come home….believe him missing with a number of men…don’t expect to see him again.”

  18. Jonas Blane says:

    What video today? Movies?

  19. Bill Bradley says:

    Nope. Maybe tomorrow.

  20. Bill Bradley says:

    Thanks.

    Well, that wall in Berlin worked out well …

    >Chris M :
    B & B: Good points

    On a different note…Did you hear we’re building the Baghdad Wall?
    [news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080418/ap_...]
    Can you believe this sh%$?

  21. Bill Bradley says:

    The Clinton campaign, which has been imbued from day one with an enormous sense of entitlement, is full of bitter rationalization.

    >Brasky :
    Ok, I don’t run with these dogs, but I think the Moveon response is worthy of posting:
    “MoveOn’s Executive Director Eli Pariser reacted strongly to Clinton’s remarks: ‘Senator Clinton has her facts wrong again. MoveOn never opposed the war in Afghanistan, and we set the record straight years ago when Karl Rove made the same claim…(our activists) deserve better than to be dismissed using Republican talking points.’”
    I missed that she said all this in February. She may not have opposed the Iraq War first, but she beat Obama’s bout of bitterness by two whole months. She was an early adopter when people didn’t even know about bitterness…
    Apr 18, 2008 07:19 PM

  22. Bill Bradley says:

    Thanks. I knew that the LA Times hit on Arnold would end up backfiring and knew that the NY Times hit on Mac would end up backfiring.

    I remember standing next to Steve Lopez, the LA Times columnist, at a huge Schwarzenegger rally (8000-plus) in Arcadia early on the morning that the LAT “Gropergate” hit was published. He was like, let me hide my credentials, help me if somebody recognizes me …

    >Brasky :
    “Hillary’s Bosnian Adventure was much more damaging than Obama’s Bittergate and the Wright Stuff.”
    One of the interesting things I’ve noticed from the Schwarzenegger campaigns, is that once voters believe that a candidate is sincere or in some other manner not a typical politician, they tend to cut a lot of slack to that candidate if they commit a verbal gaff. Especially if that gaff isn’t seen as mean or self-serving and it’s paired with some sort of sincere mea culpa.
    This probably bodes well for both McCain and Obama.
    The other thing I’ve noticed from the Schwarzenegger campaigns (which also applies to Bill Clinton), every time a weak opponent takes a wild swing a strong opponent, they get counter-punched into next week. Throwing wild, weak stuff in the ring gets you on your ass.
    Obama and McCain AIN’T Kerry and Dole. Don’t come into the ring with that weak stuff. Just ask the NY/LA Times (My radar was off that day Bill).
    Apr 18, 2008 06:37 PM

  23. Bill Bradley says:

    I think that’s right.

    >Brasky :
    Chris – I think you need to look at this another way.
    Obama has cut TWENTY POINTS from Hillary’s lead in a state that has demographics that STRONGLY favor her. That would be like McCain coming with 5 points in Massachusetts in November. Like Bill points out, this is her West New York.
    Look at that national poll – he’s taking some of the biggest hits of his life, and he’s still a monster candidate. And don’t forget, when Obama wins, the board is reset for a match with McCain.
    Speaking of resets, I think the other thing we will soon see is Obama pretending that Hillary isn’t there at all. He started focusing on McCain awhile back, but I think he’ll effectively play as though he is, in no uncertain terms, the democratic nominee.

  24. Admiring the time and effort you put into your blog and very informative insight you offer here. It’s very good to discover a blog in a rare occasion that is not all the same unwanted rehashed information. Wonderful job! I’ve saved your site and I’m including your blog URL to my Favorites today. Imagine, I respect your website so much that I am interested to advertise my own site http://www.emt.co.il on yours. I will be glad if you email me at: everythingrainbowhk (AT) gmail.com and include your annual ad rates. Looking forward to your email!

  25. Appreciating the time and effort you put into your site and detailed insight you disclose here. It’s nice to find a blog occasionally that is not all the same out of date rehashed material. Excellent job! I’ve saved your site and I’m adding your blog URL to my Favorites today. Moreover, I admire your site so much that I am interested to advertise my own site http://www.emt.co.il on yours. I would appreciate you write me at: everythingrainbowhk (AT) gmail.com listing your annual advertising prices. Much appreciated!

Leave a Reply