Hillary Clinton says she’s running against “the Republican attack machine”
with the “strength to fight and the experience to lead.”
After a brief respite for Thanksgiving, the presidential campaign this week is back with growing combat in both parties. With next month’s CBS-hosted California debate imperiled by the Writers Guild strike, the focus is increasingly on Iowa, though Republicans will debate on Thursday in Florida on CNN.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is attacking Barack Obama, who’s taken a lead over her in Iowa. Obama and John Edwards are attacking Hillary. She’ll get help on Tuesday from her husband the former president, who descends once again on Iowa to try to transfer his greater popularity there to hers and help her regain a lead, as he’s done in the past.
On the Republican side, Fred Thompson attacked Fox News on Sunday for, in his view, having it in for him. Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney are attacking one another, and Giuliani is taking some swats at Thompson, who has some strength in the South, for good measure as a closet centrist. John McCain is after Romney.
Barack Obama has built a small lead in Iowa, 30% to 26% over Hillary Clinton, with John Edwards still strong in third at 22% in a Washington Post/ABC News poll. Now that he has a lead in Iowa, Obama hopes to sustain and consolidate, maintaing his new generation/new ideas appeal and reassuring about his experience level. Which is still definitely on the thin side.
Knowing that the big dog, former President Clinton himself, is coming in once again, Obama over the weekend said that when he smoked marijuana, he inhaled. It will be interesting to see if Bill Clinton, who famously claimed he tried pot but never inhaled, takes that bait.
The spin is coming fast and furious. A Clinton spokesman sought to lowball expectations in Iowa, saying: “Our definition of success doesn’t necessarily mean coming in first.”
Meanwhile, Senator Clinton herself is attacking Obama for his lack of foreign policy experience and for having a universal health care program that is not so universal. Unlike Clinton, Obama would not require everyone to buy health insurance.
If Clinton can win in Iowa, her national frontrunnership will be affirmed. But if she loses, the floodgates of doubt about her will open, and the victor will be seen as freshly charismatic and an enormous media magnet. So to stave off that distinct possibility, Clinton has moved about a hundred staffers from elsewhere in the country into the Hawkeye State. And her husband is back this week for the latest in what will prove to be many stints there.
Hillary is still somewhat measuredly mocking Obama for citing his childhood in Indonesia as an example of his global experience. She has to convince that she has the right blend of change orientation and skilled experience to defeat the Republicans and serve as an effective president.
Obama and Edwards and others will work to undermine her experience angle, which rests more on her tenure as first lady than it does on her seven years in the US Senate, pointing out that none of her papers from the era have been made available to buttress her argument. She’ll keep trying to fend off Democratic criticism of her as “repeating Republican talking points.”
The happy trio, joined by the rest of the Democratic field, meet up again for another forum/debate in Des Moines at the end of the week. This event, focusing on black and Latino issues — intriguing, given the lack of blacks and Latinos in Iowa — will be on Dallas Mavericks’ owner Mark Cuban’s HD Net.
On the Republican side, Giuliani, who actually is a Republican candidate, will continue to find ways to work Hillary into his campaigning against his Republican opponents, as a not so subtle reminder that, on paper at least, he is the most electable Republican. He’s going after Romney this week on his fiscal policies as Massachusetts governor and for his health care plan which, like Hillary’s, requires the purchase of health insurance.
Meanwhile, a candidate running on a shoestring has rocketed into major contention. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has tripled his support in Iowa since the summer and now runs only four points behind Mitt Romney in the latest ABC/Washington Post poll of the first-in-the-nation Iowa Republican presidential caucuses.
Romney leads Huckabee, 28% to 24%, with Fred Thompson at 15% and Rudy Giuliani at 13%. Huckabee’s supporters are more enthusiastic than those of any other Republican candidate and much more likely to stick with their man. But the guitar-playing former preacher, who has been vastly outspent by Romney, is drawing from a narrower spectrum of voters. Can he expand beyond it? Does he need to in a splintered field?
Huckabee was on the BBC World News just before Thanksgiving, fielding questions from a correspondent frankly concerned, as she put it, that America might have another administration devoted to pursuing a Christian religious agenda in world affairs. Accepting the premise of her questioning, Huckabee, who apparently does not believe in the theory of evolution, said that he’s not that kind of Christian, and that there would be “no crusade” by a Huckabee Administration.
Even Ron Paul is showing a measure of strength, creeping up into the mid to high single digits in Nevada and New Hampshire and, more impressively, now raising a great deal of money. Word is that he’s raised $9 million already in this quarter, with a goal of $12 million.
While the Democratic race is currently a race between two, possibly three candidates, the Republican race is more topsy turvy. Romney leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, but Huckabee is a major threat in the first-in-the-nation contest. The veteran McCain hopes to pull off a New Hampshire upset, especially if Huckabee wins Iowa. Giuliani wants to stay relevant early and blunt anyone else from challenging Romney in New Hampshire, but Florida is his first big firewall before California and other big states he expects to win on February 5th. Thompson has faded badly in New Hampshire but hopes to be strong in South Carolina and other Southern states. …
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Yeah, Ali became trapped in his own mind. I had someone close die of Parkinson’s – a particularly devastating disease for those who prided themselves on their words.
Mr. Bradley: “I wonder if the Israelis see it that way.”
Many see him as a terrorist, some do not. Marwan was against attacking civilians inside Israel pre-67 borders, but led attacks in territories against settlers and soldiers. Many question his trial which was held in civilian court not a military court like most Palestinian militants. Recently, (approx sept) Israeli member of parliament,a former intel officer and interior minister called for his release on the basis he had moral authority and trust of all Palestinians and was someone to negotiate a viable deal with, unlike current situation…then there are the Israeli Palestinians, some 19 percent of Israel’s population…they hold Marwan in high regard…
So he led terrorist attacks in the post-’67 territory. It doesn’t sound like he’s getting out, does it?
I think he will.
Why?
Who will let him out?
Olmert, with his incongruous single digit approval rating?
Olmert’s successor?
Savlanute habibi…i.e., patience my friend! (hebrew/arabic)
we will revisit this topic at a later date…
Savlanute habibi…i.e., patience my friend! (hebrew/arabic)
we will revisit this topic at a later date…
Great.