** Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has a big lead over Democratic challenger Phil Angelides in a new Public Policy Institute of Califonria (PPIC) poll, 48% to 31%. This is an increase over his 13-point lead a month ago. This is no surprise.
** That public employee union demonstration against Schwarzenegger today at the big women’s conference in Long Beach was apparently small and uneventful, only a few dozen labor demonstrators.
** As public employee unions and the state Democratic Party intercede to try to make Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Angelides competitive, another trailing candidate, state Senator Chuck Poochigian, the Republican nominee for state attorney general, has a new TV and a new radio ad attacking the frontrunner, former Governor and currrent Oakland Mayor Jerry Brown. Brown is attacked for opposing the death penalty and other anti-crime measures.
** The public employee union coalition that battled Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger last year is protesting at the annual women’s conference hosted by First Lady Maria Shriver today in Long Beach. A spokesman for the Alliance for a Better California (ABC) tells the AP this is their first time protesting him since last year’s special election.
Actually, as NWN readers know, that’s wrong. The public employee union coalition held protests, which turned out to be relatively small, outside Schwarzenegger fundraisers earlier this year in Beverly Hills and Sacramento.
** Track global and national energy prices in near real time via Bloomberg. Crude oil prices continue to hover around sixty dollar per barrel. There have been musings in OPEC circles about cutting production.
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The public employee hacks lied? No. lol
A PR person doesn’t have to be lying to be wrong.
He may not have known or he may have forgotten that ABC had those two small rallies against Schwarzenegger earlier this year.
Bill, how are state propositions polling? I am particularly interested in 86 (tobacco tax). I am not sure the hospital industry knew what it was getting into when they went to war with Big Tobacco.
The tobacco tax is ahead and I think they did know what they were doing.
Well, the super-liberal LA Times, today announced their opposition to the Oil Tax initiative.
And, like I predicted awhile ago, they will eventually endorse Arnold.
What mainstream media outlet will conservatives attack next?
Who will be the next strawman?
Bill, as an avid reader of your blog, will you please give me your thoughts on the oil tax initiative. What you think of it policy wise, and what you think the chances are that it will pass.
No, the LA Times is for Angelides.
They were one of only 3 newspapers in the state to endorse him over Westly, the other two being the hometown Sacramento Bee and the lefty weekly San francisco Bay Guardian.
I’ve written about the oil tax before and will write about it again.
Angelides is not super-liberal, the La Times does not have to be super-liberal to help him.
A financial SOS has been issued by the infrastructure bond advocates. Advertising costs have zoomed for measure campaigns as fallout of the battle over 86 and 87 and the massive amounts spent by proponents and opponents. An ad buy gets only 60% of what you would get for the same amount just a month ago. The election is becoming a blur to the electorate due to the barrage of ads. And it will get only worse as the election approaches…
Actually, I think it’s more like TV costs have gone up 45%. So if you are spending say, $12 million of your members’ money — whomever that might be, hello there! — you are actually only going to get a little more than half what that money got in the primary.
In which candidates like Steve Westly discovered that it was quite difficult to penetrate people’s consciousnesses with TV advertising. And took a lot more … time … than it used to.
“Maria Shriver on Tuesday will preside over her annual women’s conference, a forum she hopes will be graced by the serenity of the Dalai Lama — her top draw speaker this year. But if the union members who plan to protest outside have anything to do with it, it will not be an entirely peaceful affair.” (Associated Press link in NWN)
This is extremely bad form on the unions part!..disgraceful behavior to target this non-partisan First Lady’s Event…The Union leadership
will have a great deal of explaining to do after this election, if the infrastructure bonds (especially housing and the schools) do not pass …
Whochigian?
Going after Maria was a dumbass mistake before, and it’s a dumbass mistake again. Might as well heckle the Dalai Lama while you’re at it. An amazing display of cranial rectosis.
I would have loved to attend Maria’s conference. I agree with Barbara it is bad Karma to protest the Dalai Lama. Protesting a party honoring women leaders…how embarrassing.:(
the 2 anti-Arnold ads seem pretty good. Bill – you know big, or how, the buy is?
Ca majority report is back up !
So it is even a little worse than I had heard. Plus is all that much ad time from now to the election unsold?
Could the cacaphony of advertising encourage going for the jugular to break through the noise and (in the words of Mr. Bradley) “penetrate people’s consciousnesses”? Things could get real down and dirty. Add desperation (does Angelides’ political prospects look bleak if he loses, especially with the numbers that currently show in the polls?) and we have a potent brew for excess. No wonder many are turned off by the political process.
I just keep doing my visualization!(Thank you Arnold!I agree- It works!):Dems take back the House Dems * Take Back The Hose Dems Take Back the House…
A WSJ News alert 2:21pm PST:
Sept. 26, 2006
An administration intelligence report says Iraq has become a “cause celebre” for Islamic extremists, breeding deep resentment of the U.S. in the Muslim world. The release of the report came after President Bush ordered the partial declassification of the analysis.
Greetings,
I just returned from Angelides’ rally at San Francisco State U and was impressed by his speech against the Iraq War, Bush and Arnold.
He has a reasonable position and has sparked a much-needed discussion about the disaster in Iraq, the 271 California military service members killed there, the waste of lives and resources, and using the office of Governor to call for the return of National Guard troops. He may not legally be able to do much about it, even if elected, but at least he’s speaking out, unlike Mr. Schwarzenegger, who of course did help Mr Bush get close enough in Ohio to steal the 2004 election.
Thankfully, there were some students at the rally who held up small signs reading “your party supports the war,” expressing a truth that the democrats will have to deal with and reminding Angelides that he does have opposition on the left. The event was billed as an ‘anti-war rally’ not a democratic party rally, so the students who were not democrats had a right to be there. They were not disruptive, and were mostly quiet until some Angelides supporters tried to block the signs by holding up Angelides signs, trying to suppress the free speech rights of the dissenting students. Angelides would do well to engage them in a discussion and win them over, rather than tune them out or allow his securtiy people to bully them.
While some think Angelides’ anti-war stance is opportunistic, I saw sincerity in his eyes when I shook his hand and thanked him for speaking up. He may yet win support from leftists and peaceniks like me with his anti-war stance.
Carole:Ca majority report is back up !
Carole ,are you sure???…I cant get it on any on my computers or my treo! why does this always happen to me? Geesh! I clearly need a man who understands computers …as well as me!
My treo just informed me “the page you requested cannot be displayed!”
Angelides should let Westly be the nominee. The labor geniuses who dragged Angelides over the primary finish line and are wasting their members’ money now should resign.
“I saw sincerity in his eyes…”
Ooh! Catch me! I’m going to swoon!!
Paul Burton: “steal the 2004 election”?? Puleeeze….
Mr. Burton:”While some think Angelides’ anti-war stance is opportunistic…”
I agree. I think it is sincere. Actually, during the primary debate in SF there was a question about the war…(I was a Westly supporter but I was very disappointed in his over -all performance that night/heard via radio) and to my surprise, I do remember that Westly failed to even address this Iraq War question and Phil spoke with a lucidity and conviction that escapes him when addressing other issues of importance in this race.
As discussed by Mr. Bradley in his previous post today, Phil needs more than his base to win …most people will have the war in mind when they vote for their Senator or congress member NOT their GUV…as one of Phil’s long time acquaintances and financial backers said to me on Sunday night..(see My post to Mr.Bradley’s article Sunday 9/24) …what does his stance on the war tell us about what kind of GUV he would make? The answer is..it tell us nothing.
How many showed up at this anti-war rally?
Yesterday, Kinky Friedman, who has no chance to become Texas Gov, drew a crowd of 350 at a San Antonio campus rally.
Oh, and what color are Phil’s eyes? Are they blue like Bubba’s?
PPIC poll is another very public gut punch for the Angelides Team. While the senior staff knows the campaign is over, humiliating poll numbers make it hard to keep morale up for junior staffers and volunteers during the next 41 news cycles.
Ann is right. Westly would still pull better numbers than Angelides and the union folks who bought Angelides should be forced to dance with him for the next six weeks…and then be fired.
Some time ago I proposed that if the election looked a lost cause, Phil could nonetheless do some real good for the commonweal by elevating the dialogue, raising the profile of social issues affecting real people and taking principled stands that a more competitive candidate might consider too risky. Screw the caution and express some genuine passion about things that really matter. A “Bulworth” kind of thing. Could come out of it as a more loved and less despised loser than otherwise might be the case. Remotely possible it might even spark the miracle he needs.
Genuine passion for the issue sure would be a much more admirable reason for coming down hard on the war than a calculated, cynical Hail Mary attempt to blame it on The Schwarz. I’d sure *like* to believe this comes from the heart and not the strategy sessions.
OK, you can pinch me now….
Did the PPIC survey the other statewide races? If so, where are the results?
They haven’t provided numbers yet on other races.
Bill:
do you know how the big ad buy was for the 2 anti-AS ads?
Labor unions,this “Guv NON-race”, forget the mundane for the moment… LOOK what Mayor Antonio V is doing now! I just got an “Antonio google alert” from British “Independent” Geldof, Clinton, and Villaraigosa!
ON THE WORLD STAGE!
“Climate change and Africa, two subjects on which Tony Blair has been outspoken, received only passing mentions in his farewell speech yesterday – but today they will be given the full treatment.
Debates on both issues will look at how policy on global warming and African poverty relief has moved on,…The conference will hear from distinguished visitors including the Africa champion Bob Geldof and former US president Bill Clinton, plus the Mayor of London, Ken Livingstone, and his Los Angeles counterpart, Antonio Villaraigosa.”
I bet President Clinton will raise money for Antonio!…tons of money! when he runs for GUV in 2010! Toodles!
I have believed from the start that Phil was so very enthusiastic about running against Arnold at the very beginning (2003), and continuing through the special election last year, because he thought he would be able to attack him based on his inexperience and expected ineffectiveness with a recalcitrant legislature, and with policymaking in general. An empty suit actor. Then, of course, he would follow up at the end with the imagined knockout punch groper innuendo. In essence, he would run the sort of campaign that he always imagined himself running based on his experiences at the Party, including the late knockout of Bruce ‘strip-club’ Herschensohn. But look what happened instead — he runs against an icon that all the politicians in the state and part of the world want to hang out with. . .
I finally got CMR on treo and all my computers!…I think it looks great! It even allows me to vote! Of course it’s still too much Phil! But what can you do?! They ‘re Good Dems! Anyway, this election is going to be over soon…Thank Goodness.
For all of you history revisionist buffs out there, check out the CDP/Alliance for Better California mailers being sent out on behalf of Angelides. Notice that they don’t source any of the accusations they make. I wonder why?
For all of you history revisionist buffs out there, check out the CDP/Alliance for Better California mailers being sent out on behalf of Angelides. Notice that they don’t source any of the accusations they make. I wonder why?
For all of you history revisionist buffs out there, check out the CDP/Alliance for Better California mailers being sent out on behalf of Angelides. Notice that they don’t source any of the accusations they make. I wonder why?
Bill the breakdown of the PPIC numbers is amazing….it makes the downticket races more intriguing now…it makes me wonder if any IE money will flow down to them….now I can’t wait for the PPIC numbers for those races to see if the close races are still close or not….I did see 1 of the IE ads tonight after I got home and was not impressed I don’t think it will move many voters